Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 11.651565 13.009316 14.475873 16.180012 18.108685 20.227090 22.734659
2025-06-08 9.358736 11.177953 13.293901 15.946547 19.196700 23.066327 28.048044
2025-06-15 8.071190 10.197601 12.829387 16.349009 20.967153 26.867416 35.052046
2025-06-22 6.905714 9.142216 12.057733 16.175813 21.905186 29.686113 41.210363
2025-06-29 5.947830 8.192425 11.250921 15.779184 22.408626 31.908445 46.823268
2025-07-06 5.250815 7.488765 10.659738 15.555571 23.058977 34.347568 53.044057
2025-07-13 4.879426 7.189989 10.586452 16.043165 24.780426 38.557138 62.594599
2025-07-20 4.568589 6.935514 10.534005 16.531436 26.533542 43.014421 73.224230
2025-07-27 4.244243 6.618337 10.339285 16.751467 27.851821 46.901221 83.462289
2025-08-03 3.880496 6.196935 9.927261 16.550883 28.409568 49.525500 91.795714
2025-08-10 3.551370 5.796889 9.504526 16.273148 28.777768 51.828992 99.849258
2025-08-17 3.260805 5.432152 9.101912 15.978079 29.062964 53.990097 107.934630
2025-08-24 3.017180 5.131894 8.792250 15.836922 29.659071 56.906943 118.276043
2025-08-31 2.812145 4.880899 8.546046 15.787619 30.431404 60.295343 130.295962
2025-09-07 2.702037 4.789481 8.578610 16.274056 32.338534 66.300221 149.376752
2025-09-14 2.521477 4.551517 8.314867 16.143590 32.948299 69.620441 162.795058
2025-09-21 2.329442 4.274812 7.950862 15.767292 32.980042 71.657907 173.450839
2025-09-28 2.175426 4.057210 7.680532 15.553009 33.333712 74.468814 186.618516
2025-10-05 2.111181 4.008795 7.739922 16.045027 35.344913 81.490731 212.465902
2025-10-12 2.050445 3.961650 7.796483 16.535587 37.417631 88.991250 241.325762
2025-10-19 1.967815 3.862791 7.736339 16.756756 38.873096 95.165747 267.763129
2025-10-26 1.853769 3.689659 7.503900 16.556609 39.261885 98.617808 286.772768
2025-11-02 1.742381 3.513471 7.249922 16.279005 39.419146 101.474630 304.586879